Will the midterm polls be accurate?

February 6, 2022

By Accuracy In Media

AIM’s Adam Guillette tells the Washington Times what he predicts.

Originally published by The Washington Times
By Sean Salai – Friday, February 4, 2022

The approach of the midterm elections is renewing doubts about the accuracy of polling, after the predictions of strong Democratic Party support before the last two presidential contests turned out to be wrong.

Most polls failed to predict former President Donald Trump’s win in 2016 but did better with the 2018 midterms. Then in 2020, they underestimated Mr. Trump’s portion of the vote by an average of more than 4 percentage points and overestimated how well Democrats would do in U.S. House and Senate races.

Adam Guillette, president of Accuracy in Media, says some conservatives may conceal their true views from a hostile-sounding survey to give the polling firms “data that reinforces their worldview.”

“Polling companies have become the political equivalent of Lucy snatching the football away from Charlie Brown,” Mr. Guillette said. “Each and every election we learn how wrong they are, how biased they are. Then two years later, they expect us to take them seriously again.”

Read the entire article at The Washington Times.


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